Tuesday, 23 June 2015

Taiwan Will Have a Female President in 2016

quote [ For the first time ever, two female candidates will square off in Taiwan?s presidential election. ]

It's interesting to me that Asia is famously so socially conservative and yet not only have many countries there had females leaders (India, Pakistan, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and South Korea to name a few) but Taiwan is now shaping to have a female-only presidential election.

Also, I hate that TIME referred to Taiwan as Chinese and their piece regarding Tsai was very poorly researched but it still seemed an appropriate thumbnail.

Taiwan?s ruling Kuomintang (KMT) has all but selected its candidate for the 2016 presidential elections. Hung Hsiu-chu, the deputy legislative speaker, is the sole contender for the KMT nomination, and was just formally granted the go-ahead by the party?s Central Standing Committee. That sets up a showdown between Hung and Democratic Progressive Party chair Tsai Ing-wen for the presidency ? and guarantees Taiwan will have its first-ever female president.

Hung passed of the last hurdles for the nomination on Wednesday, when the Standing Committee formally affirmed her bid. Prior to that, Hung had to prove she had a higher than 30 percent public approval rating, a requirement for the KMT?s candidate. Hung passed that bar easily, gaining 46 percent approval. With those requirements met, Hung will ?for sure be appointed? the KMT candidate during the party congress on July 19, KMT spokesman Yang Wei-chung told The Wall Street Journal.

Tsai wants to institutionalize cross-strait relations and make the process more transparent, which in practice will mean slowing down the pace of new agreements. Hung, meanwhile, has previously said that she will make seeking a peace accord with the mainland one of her top priorities ? a promise that is sure to spark heated debates during the campaign. Even current President Ma Ying-jeou, seen as very much in favor of expanding cross-strait ties, has tread lightly on the issue of a formal peace accord, shelving a previous promise to pursue such an agreement in the face of opposition.

Hung has also vocally opposed the idea of Taiwanese independence, saying, ?This separatist ideology is a threat to Taiwan?s national security.? She accused the DPP of ?destroying the peaceful foundation for cross-strait relations,? language typical of her outspoken style (she?s nicknamed ?Little Hot Pepper? for that very reason).

Tsai, meanwhile, has carefully avoided being pinned down on concrete issues in cross-strait relations, such as whether she would accept the 1992 Consensus (in which KMT and Chinese Communist Party leaders agreed that Taiwan is part of ?one China,? while maintaining different interpretations of what ?one China? refers to). The KMT is hoping that Hung?s direct style will force Tsai to pin down her stance on cross-strait issues, potentially alienating either her base or observers already predisposed to worry about cross-strait relations under a DPP administration. However, Hung?s directness could backfire if Taiwanese are in fact, as Tsai has repeatedly said, satisfied with the ?status quo? and not eager for a security agreement with China.

Regardless of who wins, Hung?s nomination means the gender of either candidate will not be the deciding factor. During her visit to Washington, D.C. in early June, Tsai was asked at a public panel for her views on what it means to be a woman running for president in Taiwan. Tsai noted that ?there are some people in Taiwan that are still rather traditional and they have some hesitation in considering a woman president,? but overall she was optimistic. ?I think in general terms, there is a preference for women candidates these days,? Tsai said. ??[A]mong the younger generation, I think they are generally excited about the idea of having a woman leader. They think it is rather trendy.?

Tsai ended by saying that Taiwan?s people face a ?serious test? in the elections: ?whether we are advanced and civilized enough to accept a woman leader.? With Hung only the formal party vote away from the nomination, it seems Taiwan?s people will have a ?woman leader? regardless. ?I hope this battle between two women will bring forth a whole new understanding and set an example of true democracy,? Hung told the press.
[SFW] [politics]
[by MadMarchHarris@1:21amGMT]

Comments

damnit said @ 2:11am GMT on 23rd Jun
Politically, Taiwan is China's bitch.
MadMarchHarris said @ 2:45am GMT on 23rd Jun [Score:2]
Xinjiang, Tibet, and Hong Kong are China's bitches. Taiwan at least has all its clothes on and a rape whistle.
cb361 said @ 10:02am GMT on 23rd Jun
How is Taiwan not China? It's historically a Chinese Provence. Taiwan is mainly populated mainly with Chinese Han and Chinese Fujianese ethnic groups. Unless it's changed recently, both the (Mainland) Chinese and Taiwanese governments consider Taiwan and Mainland China to be the same country, but disagree over who ought to govern the whole thing. There is a Nationalist movement who want to declare independence, but mainland China has said it will invade if that happens, so no big player is keen on that. All in all, it's pretty thoroughly Chinese.
MadMarchHarris said[1] @ 3:40pm GMT on 23rd Jun
"It's historically a Chinese Provence."

No it isn't. It wasn't ever actually claimed specifically by China until the Qing dynasty (which was a Manchu dynasty, not Chinese) and even then they never controlled it. The Japanese were the first to industrialize the island and "put it to use" in the empire sense. The Republic of China continued the work of the Japanese after losing the civil war to Mao. So the PRC claim that they want China "back" is nonsensical.

"Unless it's changed recently, both the (Mainland) Chinese and Taiwanese governments consider Taiwan and Mainland China to be the same country,"

it has. Considerably. I'm not an expert on the Chiang Kai-Shek era but I know that it's because of his idiotic stubbornness at being "China" that Taiwan doesn't have a seat in the UN. His son Chiang Ching-Kuo (who took over in the mid 70s and transitioned the country to a democracy in the late 80s) gave up the idea of fighting China at least as late at the 80s.

"There is a Nationalist movement who want to declare independence, but mainland China has said it will invade if that happens, so no big player is keen on that. "

There's a lot more to the question than there being people who think Taiwan is China and people who want to tell China to go fuck themselves. On public opinion surveys about 65-70% of Taiwanese say they favour "status quo" in regards to China; that is, they want to continue to have their own laws, elections, customs, culture, and freedom (ie, de facto independence). 25% want de jure independence as well as de facto independence. Only 7% want to be annexed by China. I'm sure a similar number of Canadians would like to be annexed by the USA and they don't have a huge propaganda industry trying to lure us into it.

Taiwan used to see itself as Chinese because so much of the country's population was immigrants from there. Now a considerable portion of the people there were born there and don't have any relation to China. There are plenty of places with ethnic ties to China that aren't Chinese. Singapore gets to have its own demonym. Tibet is actively controlled by China but they're still Tibetan. Why would Taiwan, an independent country, be considered China then?
damnit said @ 11:17pm GMT on 23rd Jun
I think more so now than before, it's strategic for China to claim Taiwan especially with the Spratly islands debacle in the Philippines. They've been fighting over it even before I left the Philippines in '97. Only now, China has taken aggressive steps and created their own landmass on the area.

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